AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Sep 26, 2024

Stade Tunisien

Home
VS
14:30

ES Metlaoui

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Stade Tunisien Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
ES Metlaoui Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Tunisien Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
ES Metlaoui Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Stade Tunisien Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 19 Stade Tun… vs US Monast… 1-1
Jun 14 Stade Tun… vs Club Afri… 1-1
Jun 01 Stade Tun… vs Djelma 1-0
Apr 27 Stade Tun… vs US Monast… 0-0
Apr 13 Stade Tun… vs Club Afri… 0-0
Mar 02 Stade Tun… vs Moknine 2-1
Dec 26 Stade Tun… vs Club Afri… 2-1
Dec 17 Stade Tun… vs Djelma 1-0
Oct 29 Stade Tun… vs Moknine 2-1
Oct 28 Stade Tun… vs AS Soliman 1-0
ES Metlaoui Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 ES Metlao… vs AS Soliman 2-0
Jun 14 ES Metlao… vs AS Soliman 2-2
Apr 27 ES Metlao… vs Club Athl… 2-2
Apr 21 ES Metlao… vs US Monast… 2-2
Apr 13 ES Metlao… vs AS Soliman 1-0
Feb 06 ES Metlao… vs Club Athl… 2-0
Dec 30 ES Metlao… vs Club Athl… 4-2
Dec 27 ES Metlao… vs US Monast… 0-3
Nov 25 ES Metlao… vs CS Sfaxien 2-0
Oct 08 ES Metlao… vs Club Athl… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 27, 2023 ES Metlaoui 2 - 1 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Apr 26, 2023 Stade Tunisien 1 - 1 ES Metlaoui Ligue 1
Feb 26, 2023 Stade Tunisien 2 - 1 ES Metlaoui Cup
Mar 31, 2021 ES Metlaoui 1 - 0 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Jan 12, 2021 Stade Tunisien 0 - 0 ES Metlaoui Ligue 1
Aug 02, 2020 ES Metlaoui 2 - 1 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stade Tunisien to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Tunisien Power 0
ES Metlaoui Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Stade Tunisien Position

+4

Position Gap

7

ES Metlaoui Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.