Predictions Match Details
Azerbaijan Premier League · Aug 13, 2023 14:30

Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Qarabağ FK to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form LWLWW
STABLE
Turan Tovuz Form WLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS43%
Under 2.557%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Qarabağ FK
vs
0.75
Turan Tovuz
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings54%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK
+1
Gap
#3
Turan Tovuz
WR 64% 39 pts WR 56% 30 pts
Qarabağ FK 12.0%
Aug 05 Qarabağ… v Zira 0-1
May 28 Qarabağ… v Turan T… 3-1
May 22 Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt 1-2
May 08 Qarabağ… v Qabala 3-0
Apr 09 Qarabağ… v Kəpəz 3-1
Apr 02 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 0-1
Mar 05 Qarabağ… v Qabala 1-3
Jan 31 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 3-1
Dec 19 Qarabağ… v Qabala 1-0
Dec 13 Qarabağ… v Qabala 1-0
Turan Tovuz 8.0%
Aug 04 Turan T… v Araz 0-3
May 28 Turan T… v Qarabağ… 3-1
May 13 Turan T… v Qabala 1-2
Apr 15 Turan T… v Kəpəz 1-0
Mar 31 Turan T… v Sumqayıt 2-3
Mar 11 Turan T… v Qabala 1-1
Dec 24 Turan T… v Qabala 0-0
Aug 08 Turan T… v Qabala 0-2
Head-to-Head (1)
May 28, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3-1 Turan Tovuz
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5)
Turan Tovuz struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.