AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League May 17, 2024

Qarabağ FK

Home
VS
16:30

Turan Tovuz

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Qarabağ FK Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Turan Tovuz Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 51%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 3.17 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Turan Tovuz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Qarabağ FK Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Qarabağ FK vs Zira 0-1
May 04 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 5-0
Apr 28 Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Apr 24 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 4-1
Apr 20 Qarabağ FK vs Qabala 2-2
Apr 14 Qarabağ FK vs Sabah FA 3-2
Apr 02 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 0-4
Mar 29 Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz 1-6
Mar 17 Qarabağ FK vs Turan Tov… 1-3
Mar 14 Qarabağ FK vs Bayer Lev… 3-2
Turan Tovuz Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Turan Tov… vs Araz 0-1
Apr 28 Turan Tov… vs Neftchi B… 3-0
Apr 19 Turan Tov… vs Sumqayıt 1-4
Apr 13 Turan Tov… vs Qabala 1-2
Apr 06 Turan Tov… vs Sabah FA 2-0
Mar 17 Turan Tov… vs Qarabağ FK 1-3
Mar 10 Turan Tov… vs Araz 2-0
Feb 24 Turan Tov… vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Feb 18 Turan Tov… vs Sumqayıt 0-0
Feb 13 Turan Tov… vs Qabala 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 17, 2024 Turan Tovuz 1 - 3 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 20, 2023 Turan Tovuz 2 - 2 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 13, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 0 Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Pre…
May 28, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 1 Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Qarabağ FK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Qarabağ FK Power 0
Turan Tovuz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Qarabağ FK Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Turan Tovuz Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.