Azerbaijan Premier League · Aug 24, 2024 14:15
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Qarabağ FK to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
2-0 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form
WWWDW
UP
Turan Tovuz Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS70%
Under 2.530%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.76
Qarabağ FKvs
1.27
Turan TovuzDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings54%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK+1
Gap#3
Turan Tovuz
WR 64% 39 pts
WR 56% 30 pts
Qarabağ FK
18.0%
| Aug 09 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 1-4 |
| Jun 02 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 2-1 |
| May 26 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 2-2 |
| May 17 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 4-3 |
| May 11 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 0-1 |
| May 04 | Qarabağ… v Neftchi… | 5-0 |
| Apr 28 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Qarabağ… v Neftchi… | 4-1 |
| Apr 20 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 2-2 |
Turan Tovuz
14.0%
| Aug 17 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-3 |
| Aug 11 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 0-0 |
| May 26 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 4-3 |
| May 11 | Turan T… v Araz | 0-1 |
| Apr 28 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 1-4 |
| Apr 13 | Turan T… v Qabala | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| May 17, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 4-3 | Turan Tovuz |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-3 | Qarabağ FK |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 2-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5)
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.