AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Jan 26, 2025

Qarabağ FK

Home
VS
14:30

Turan Tovuz

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Qarabağ FK Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Turan Tovuz Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 51%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Turan Tovuz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Qarabağ FK Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 3-2
Dec 22 Qarabağ FK vs Araz 2-0
Dec 19 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 0-1
Dec 16 Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt 5-0
Dec 07 Qarabağ FK vs Sabah FA 1-1
Dec 04 Qarabağ FK vs Qabala 0-2
Dec 01 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 0-3
Nov 10 Qarabağ FK vs Zira 4-0
Nov 01 Qarabağ FK vs Turan Tov… 0-0
Oct 27 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 3-0
Turan Tovuz Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Turan Tov… vs Kəpəz 5-2
Dec 21 Turan Tov… vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Dec 03 Turan Tov… vs Sabah FA 2-2
Nov 29 Turan Tov… vs Araz 1-0
Nov 24 Turan Tov… vs Sabah FA 1-1
Nov 01 Turan Tov… vs Qarabağ FK 0-0
Oct 25 Turan Tov… vs Kəpəz 2-1
Oct 20 Turan Tov… vs Sumqayıt 2-4
Sep 21 Turan Tov… vs Araz 1-2
Sep 15 Turan Tov… vs Sabah FA 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2024 Turan Tovuz 0 - 0 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 24, 2024 Qarabağ FK 0 - 1 Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Pre…
May 17, 2024 Qarabağ FK 4 - 3 Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Pre…
Mar 17, 2024 Turan Tovuz 1 - 3 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 20, 2023 Turan Tovuz 2 - 2 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 13, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 0 Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Pre…
May 28, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 1 Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Qarabağ FK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Qarabağ FK Power 0
Turan Tovuz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Qarabağ FK Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Turan Tovuz Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.