AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 13, 2024

Antigua GFC

Home
VS
00:00

Marquense

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Antigua GFC Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Marquense Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Antigua GFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Marquense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Antigua GFC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 4-1
Sep 15 Antigua G… vs Malacatec… 3-1
Aug 18 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 3-3
Aug 11 Antigua G… vs Guastatoya 1-0
Aug 04 Antigua G… vs Comunicac… 1-1
Apr 14 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 1-0
Apr 06 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 1-1
Mar 28 Antigua G… vs Comunicac… 3-0
Mar 23 Antigua G… vs Malacatec… 2-2
Mar 10 Antigua G… vs Guastatoya 3-0
Marquense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Marquense vs Comunicac… 2-1
Sep 07 Marquense vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Sep 01 Marquense vs Malacatec… 2-2
Aug 25 Marquense vs Achuapa 3-0
Aug 19 Marquense vs Municipal 0-0
Aug 10 Marquense vs Mixco 2-0
Aug 04 Marquense vs XelajĂş 3-1
May 16 Marquense vs Mixco 2-2
May 08 Marquense vs Mixco 2-2
Dec 12 Marquense vs Mixco 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antigua GFC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antigua GFC Power 0
Marquense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Antigua GFC Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Marquense Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.