AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Apr 05, 2025

Antigua GFC

Home
VS
23:00

Marquense

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Antigua GFC Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Marquense Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Antigua GFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Marquense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Antigua GFC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Antigua G… vs Municipal 1-2
Mar 30 Antigua G… vs Comunicac… 1-1
Mar 09 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 1-0
Mar 05 Antigua G… vs Guastatoya 1-0
Feb 09 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Feb 06 Antigua G… vs Malacatec… 2-3
Feb 02 Antigua G… vs Marquense 0-0
Jan 30 Antigua G… vs Municipal 2-1
Jan 25 Antigua G… vs Comunicac… 2-3
Jan 24 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 5-1
Marquense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 Marquense vs Comunicac… 1-2
Mar 22 Marquense vs Cobán Imp… 3-0
Mar 10 Marquense vs Mixco 1-1
Mar 02 Marquense vs Malacatec… 1-0
Feb 24 Marquense vs Municipal 0-0
Feb 17 Marquense vs XelajĂş 0-0
Feb 14 Marquense vs Achuapa 2-1
Feb 07 Marquense vs Cobán Imp… 2-0
Feb 02 Marquense vs Antigua G… 0-0
Jan 30 Marquense vs Comunicac… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Antigua GFC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Marquense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2025 Marquense 0 - 0 Antigua GFC Liga Nacional
Oct 13, 2024 Antigua GFC 4 - 2 Marquense Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antigua GFC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antigua GFC Power 0
Marquense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Antigua GFC Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Marquense Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.