AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Mar 24, 2024

Operário Ferroviário

Home
VS
20:00

Ivinhema

Away
AI Predictions 62.3% Confidence
Operário Ferroviário Win
62.3%
Draw
21.5%
Ivinhema Win
16.1%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.57 - 0.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Operário Ferroviário Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Ivinhema Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (46%) 1-0 (26%) 0-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 8%
Over 2.5 Goals 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 96%
Operário Ferroviário Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-1
Mar 09 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-0
Feb 10 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-1
Ivinhema Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Ivinhema vs Operário … 0-1
Mar 09 Ivinhema vs Dourados … 1-0
Feb 10 Ivinhema vs Dourados … 1-2
Apr 16 Ivinhema vs Costa Rica 0-1
Apr 08 Ivinhema vs Costa Rica 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ivinhema struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 17, 2024 Ivinhema 0 - 1 Operário Ferroviário Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Operário Ferroviário to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Operário Ferroviário Power 0
Ivinhema Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Operário Ferroviário Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Ivinhema Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.