AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Feb 12, 2022

Galatasaray

Home
VS
16:00

Kocaelispor FK

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Galatasaray Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Kocaelispor FK Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 1.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Kocaelispor FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Galatasaray Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 1-3
Dec 25 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 2-0
Nov 07 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 1-1
Oct 31 Galatasar… vs Gazişehir… 2-0
Oct 12 Galatasar… vs İstanbuls… 3-3
Oct 03 Galatasar… vs Rizespor 2-3
Sep 22 Galatasar… vs Kocaelisp… 3-0
Aug 29 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 2-2
Jul 10 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 4-2
May 02 Galatasar… vs Genclerbi… 0-2
Kocaelispor FK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Kocaelisp… vs Samsunspor 3-0
Jan 19 Kocaelisp… vs İstanbul … 1-0
Dec 28 Kocaelisp… vs Kasımpaşa 5-3
Dec 24 Kocaelisp… vs Adana Dem… 2-0
Dec 19 Kocaelisp… vs Gazişehir… 0-0
Dec 12 Kocaelisp… vs Besiktas 4-2
Dec 10 Kocaelisp… vs Erzurum BB 2-0
Dec 01 Kocaelisp… vs Adana Dem… 1-2
Nov 27 Kocaelisp… vs Rizespor 1-0
Nov 27 Kocaelisp… vs Isparta 3… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kocaelispor FK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 3 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Mar 13, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Galatasaray to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galatasaray Power 0
Kocaelispor FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Galatasaray Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Kocaelispor FK Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.