AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Apr 14, 2023

Galatasaray

Home
VS
17:30

Kocaelispor FK

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Galatasaray Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Kocaelispor FK Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.87 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.0 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Kocaelispor FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Galatasaray Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 2-3
Mar 11 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 1-0
Mar 05 Galatasar… vs Gazişehir… 0-3
Mar 04 Galatasar… vs İstanbuls… 0-6
Feb 22 Galatasar… vs Genclerbi… 2-2
Jan 21 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 2-1
Jan 08 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 0-3
Dec 25 Galatasar… vs İstanbuls… 2-1
Nov 12 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 0-7
Oct 28 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 0-2
Kocaelispor FK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Kocaelisp… vs İstanbul … 1-0
Jan 22 Kocaelisp… vs Besiktas 0-2
Dec 28 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 3-1
Dec 18 Kocaelisp… vs Hekimoğlu… 1-2
Nov 26 Kocaelisp… vs 76 Iğdır … 2-2
Nov 13 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 1-2
Nov 06 Kocaelisp… vs Gazişehir… 1-2
Oct 15 Kocaelisp… vs Galatasar… 2-1
Aug 21 Kocaelisp… vs İstanbul … 2-0
Aug 06 Kocaelisp… vs Besiktas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Galatasaray in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Kocaelispor FK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2022 Kocaelispor FK 2 - 1 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Feb 12, 2022 Galatasaray 1 - 1 Kocaelispor FK SĂĽper Lig
Sep 22, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 3 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Mar 13, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Galatasaray to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galatasaray Power 0
Kocaelispor FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Galatasaray Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Kocaelispor FK Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.