AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Jan 15, 2024

Galatasaray

Home
VS
17:00

Kocaelispor FK

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Galatasaray Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Kocaelispor FK Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.80 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.4 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Kocaelispor FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Galatasaray Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 0-0
Dec 20 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 1-0
Dec 12 Galatasar… vs FC Copenh… 1-0
Nov 03 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 2-1
Oct 07 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 0-2
Sep 26 Galatasar… vs İstanbuls… 0-1
Sep 23 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Sep 16 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 4-2
Sep 02 Galatasar… vs Gazişehir… 0-3
Aug 12 Galatasar… vs Kocaelisp… 0-0
Kocaelispor FK Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Kocaelisp… vs Hekimoğlu… 0-3
Dec 24 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 2-0
Dec 20 Kocaelisp… vs Fenerbahce 3-4
Dec 06 Kocaelisp… vs Van BB 4-0
Dec 06 Kocaelisp… vs Altay 2-3
Nov 06 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 1-0
Oct 28 Kocaelisp… vs Genclerbi… 2-2
Oct 21 Kocaelisp… vs Rizespor 3-1
Oct 06 Kocaelisp… vs Erzurum BB 1-1
Oct 02 Kocaelisp… vs İstanbul … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Galatasaray in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Kocaelispor FK in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 12, 2023 Kocaelispor FK 0 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Apr 14, 2023 Galatasaray 6 - 0 Kocaelispor FK SĂĽper Lig
Oct 15, 2022 Kocaelispor FK 2 - 1 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Feb 12, 2022 Galatasaray 1 - 1 Kocaelispor FK SĂĽper Lig
Sep 22, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 3 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Mar 13, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Galatasaray to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galatasaray Power 0
Kocaelispor FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Galatasaray Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Kocaelispor FK Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.