AI Match Insights

Paraibano Jan 19, 2025

EC de Patos

Home
VS
20:00

Sousa

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
EC de Patos Win
42.0%
Draw
25.6%
Sousa Win
32.4%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.20 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
EC de Patos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Sousa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
EC de Patos Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 EC de Pat… vs Botafogo 3-0
Oct 15 EC de Pat… vs Pombal EC 0-2
Oct 12 EC de Pat… vs Pombal EC 2-3
Sep 06 EC de Pat… vs Pombal EC 1-2
Sousa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 2-0
Apr 13 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-1
Apr 06 Sousa vs Botafogo 0-0
Apr 03 Sousa vs Treze 0-0
Mar 31 Sousa vs Treze 2-1
Mar 10 Sousa vs Botafogo 0-0
Feb 25 Sousa vs Treze 0-2
Jan 28 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 1-0
Apr 08 Sousa vs Treze 1-0
Apr 01 Sousa vs Treze 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
EC de Patos Power 0
Sousa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

EC de Patos Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Sousa Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.