AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Aug 05, 2023

Dynamo Dresden

Home
VS
14:15

Arminia Bielefeld

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Dynamo Dresden Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Arminia Bielefeld Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.14 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.0
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dynamo Dresden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Arminia Bielefeld Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Dynamo Dresden Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 0-2
May 20 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 0-0
Apr 22 Dynamo Dr… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Apr 16 Dynamo Dr… vs Holstein … 0-0
Nov 21 Dynamo Dr… vs Fortuna D… 1-0
Nov 05 Dynamo Dr… vs Holstein … 2-1
Jul 03 Dynamo Dr… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Feb 06 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Augsbu… 0-1
Jan 23 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 4-3
Oct 10 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Augsbu… 1-0
Arminia Bielefeld Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Arminia B… vs FC Kaiser… 1-2
Apr 09 Arminia B… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Apr 02 Arminia B… vs Holstein … 2-3
Jan 14 Arminia B… vs Holstein … 2-1
Nov 05 Arminia B… vs FC Kaiser… 2-3
Oct 01 Arminia B… vs Fortuna D… 4-1
Sep 17 Arminia B… vs Holstein … 4-2
May 06 Arminia B… vs VfL Bochum 2-1
Apr 30 Arminia B… vs Hertha Be… 1-1
Dec 14 Arminia B… vs VfL Bochum 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arminia Bielefeld in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 15, 2020 Arminia Bielefeld 4 - 0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dynamo Dresden to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dynamo Dresden Power 46
Arminia Bielefeld Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.