AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Sep 22, 2024

Gent

Home
VS
16:30

Dender

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Gent Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Dender Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 2.66 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.8 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Gent Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Dender Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Gent Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Gent vs Anderlecht 0-2
Sep 17 Gent vs Anderlecht 0-2
Sep 15 Gent vs Mechelen 2-0
Sep 14 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-3
Sep 14 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-3
Sep 01 Gent vs Antwerp 1-1
Sep 01 Gent vs Antwerp 1-1
Aug 30 Gent vs Westerlo 1-0
Aug 30 Gent vs Westerlo 1-0
Aug 18 Gent vs Westerlo 4-1
Dender Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Dender vs Standard … 0-2
Sep 13 Dender vs Standard … 0-2
Aug 31 Dender vs Beerschot… 1-2
Aug 25 Dender vs Cercle Br… 1-2
Aug 25 Dender vs Cercle Br… 1-2
Aug 17 Dender vs St. Truid… 3-3
Aug 10 Dender vs Kortrijk 4-1
Aug 04 Dender vs Gent 1-2
Jul 27 Dender vs Union Sai… 0-0
Jul 27 Dender vs St. Gillo… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gent in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Dender struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 04, 2024 Gent 1 - 2 Dender Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gent to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gent Power 0
Dender Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Gent Position

+11

Position Gap

16

Dender Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.