AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Oct 16, 2021

Toulouse

Home
VS
13:00

Auxerre

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Toulouse Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Auxerre Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.48 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Toulouse Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Toulouse vs Amiens 0-0
Jul 21 Toulouse vs Nepal 0-2
May 01 Toulouse vs Paris FC 3-1
Feb 27 Toulouse vs Amiens 3-0
Feb 02 Toulouse vs Auxerre 3-1
Jan 05 Toulouse vs Paris FC 1-0
Nov 02 Toulouse vs Amiens 0-1
Sep 26 Toulouse vs Auxerre 3-1
Auxerre Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Auxerre vs Metz 0-3
Aug 16 Auxerre vs Paris FC 1-1
Mar 13 Auxerre vs Paris FC 0-0
Feb 02 Auxerre vs Toulouse 3-1
Nov 21 Auxerre vs Paris FC 0-3
Sep 26 Auxerre vs Toulouse 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Auxerre in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2021 Auxerre 3 - 1 Toulouse Ligue 2
Sep 26, 2020 Toulouse 3 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Toulouse to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toulouse Power 39
Auxerre Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.