AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Jan 11, 2023

Auxerre

Home
VS
18:00

Toulouse

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Auxerre Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Toulouse Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 3.56 - 1.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Auxerre Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Auxerre vs Monaco 2-3
Dec 09 Auxerre vs Metz 1-5
Nov 13 Auxerre vs Paris Sai… 5-0
Oct 02 Auxerre vs Stade Bre… 1-1
Aug 07 Auxerre vs Lille 4-1
Mar 19 Auxerre vs Toulouse 1-2
Feb 01 Auxerre vs Paris FC 1-2
Dec 18 Auxerre vs Lille 3-1
Oct 16 Auxerre vs Toulouse 6-0
Sep 03 Auxerre vs Metz 0-3
Toulouse Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Toulouse vs Marseille 6-1
Oct 28 Toulouse vs Lens 3-0
Oct 23 Toulouse vs Strasbourg 2-2
Oct 16 Toulouse vs Angers 3-2
Aug 07 Toulouse vs Nice 1-1
Apr 02 Toulouse vs Paris FC 2-1
Mar 19 Toulouse vs Auxerre 1-2
Mar 15 Toulouse vs Amiens 6-0
Nov 27 Toulouse vs Lyon Duch… 1-3
Oct 23 Toulouse vs Paris FC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Auxerre struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2022 Auxerre 1 - 2 Toulouse Ligue 2
Oct 16, 2021 Toulouse 6 - 0 Auxerre Ligue 2
Feb 02, 2021 Auxerre 3 - 1 Toulouse Ligue 2
Sep 26, 2020 Toulouse 3 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Auxerre Power 27
Toulouse Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Auxerre Position

-9

Position Gap

8

Toulouse Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.