AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 May 27, 2023

Toulouse

Home
VS
19:00

Auxerre

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Toulouse Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Auxerre Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.07 - 1.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.4 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Toulouse Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Toulouse vs Nice 0-0
May 02 Toulouse vs Lens 0-1
Apr 02 Toulouse vs Stade Bre… 3-1
Mar 12 Toulouse vs Angers 0-2
Feb 19 Toulouse vs Marseille 2-3
Jan 29 Toulouse vs Strasbourg 1-2
Jan 15 Toulouse vs Stade Bre… 1-1
Jan 11 Toulouse vs Auxerre 0-5
Dec 29 Toulouse vs Marseille 6-1
Oct 28 Toulouse vs Lens 3-0
Auxerre Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Auxerre vs Paris Sai… 1-2
May 14 Auxerre vs Stade Bre… 1-0
Apr 22 Auxerre vs Lille 1-1
Feb 01 Auxerre vs Monaco 3-2
Jan 14 Auxerre vs Lens 1-0
Jan 11 Auxerre vs Toulouse 0-5
Dec 28 Auxerre vs Monaco 2-3
Dec 09 Auxerre vs Metz 1-5
Nov 13 Auxerre vs Paris Sai… 5-0
Oct 02 Auxerre vs Stade Bre… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toulouse struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Auxerre struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2023 Auxerre 0 - 5 Toulouse Ligue 1
Mar 19, 2022 Auxerre 1 - 2 Toulouse Ligue 2
Oct 16, 2021 Toulouse 6 - 0 Auxerre Ligue 2
Feb 02, 2021 Auxerre 3 - 1 Toulouse Ligue 2
Sep 26, 2020 Toulouse 3 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

PRO: Toulouse to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toulouse Power 39
Auxerre Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Toulouse Position

+9

Position Gap

17

Auxerre Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.