Ligue 1 · Dec 01, 2024 16:00
Toulouse
PWR 39
Auxerre
PWR 27
Toulouse
PWR 39
2 - 0
FT
Auxerre
PWR 27
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Toulouse to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense66
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack21
Defense57
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.5
Toulouse Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Auxerre Form
WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS63%
Under 2.537%
Toulouse Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Auxerre Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Toulousevs
1.25
AuxerreDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Toulouse+9
Gap#17
Auxerre
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 0% 13 pts
Toulouse
14.0%
| Nov 22 | Toulouse v Paris FC | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 0-2 |
| Nov 03 | Toulouse v Reims | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Toulouse v Montpel… | 0-3 |
| Oct 20 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Toulouse v Lille | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Toulouse v Lyon | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Toulouse v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Toulouse v Brest | 2-0 |
Auxerre
18.0%
| Nov 24 | Auxerre v Angers | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Auxerre v Angers | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Auxerre v Marseil… | 1-3 |
| Nov 03 | Auxerre v Rennes … | 4-0 |
| Oct 27 | Auxerre v Lyon | 2-2 |
| Oct 20 | Auxerre v Reims | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Auxerre v St Etie… | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | Auxerre v Brest | 3-0 |
| Sep 27 | Auxerre v Stade B… | 3-0 |
| Sep 22 | Auxerre v Montpel… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| May 27, 2023 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Auxerre |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Auxerre | 0-5 | Toulouse |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Auxerre | 1-2 | Toulouse |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Toulouse | 6-0 | Auxerre |
| Feb 02, 2021 | Auxerre | 3-1 | Toulouse |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Toulouse | 3-1 | Auxerre |
Key Factors
Toulouse in strong form (3W in last 5)
Auxerre in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.