Ligue 1 · Feb 09, 2025 16:15
Auxerre
PWR 27
Toulouse
PWR 39
Auxerre
PWR 27
2 - 2
FT
Toulouse
PWR 39
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (50%)
1-0 (25%)
0-1 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSN/A
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack21
Defense57
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.5
Attack47
Defense66
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Auxerre Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Toulouse Form
LDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.53%
BTTS7%
Under 2.597%
Auxerre Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Toulouse Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Auxerrevs
0.20
ToulouseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Auxerre-9
Gap#7
Toulouse
WR 27% 14 pts
WR 40% 31 pts
Auxerre
4.0%
| Feb 01 | Auxerre v Monaco | 4-2 |
| Jan 24 | Auxerre v St Etieā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Auxerre v Angers | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Auxerre v Lille | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Auxerre v Strasboā¦ | 3-1 |
| Dec 22 | Auxerre v Dunkerqā¦ | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Auxerre v Lens | 2-2 |
| Dec 14 | Auxerre v Lens | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Auxerre v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Auxerre v Paris Sā¦ | 0-0 |
Toulouse
8.0%
| Feb 05 | Toulouse v Guingamp | 0-2 |
| Feb 02 | Toulouse v Nice | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Toulouse v Montpelā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Toulouse v Lyon | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Toulouse v Laval | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | Toulouse v Strasboā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | Toulouse v Lens | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Toulouse v St Etieā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Toulouse v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Toulouse v Auxerre | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 01, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-0 | Auxerre |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-0 | Auxerre |
| May 27, 2023 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Auxerre |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Auxerre | 0-5 | Toulouse |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Auxerre | 1-2 | Toulouse |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Toulouse | 6-0 | Auxerre |
| Feb 02, 2021 | Auxerre | 3-1 | Toulouse |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Toulouse | 3-1 | Auxerre |
Key Factors
Auxerre struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.