AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Aug 06, 2023

FC St. Gallen

Home
VS
14:30

FC Luzern

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC St. Gallen Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC Luzern Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.71 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.0 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC St. Gallen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
FC Luzern Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
FC St. Gallen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 29 FC St. Ga… vs FC Lugano 1-0
Jul 22 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 2-1
May 29 FC St. Ga… vs FC Sion 4-0
May 25 FC St. Ga… vs Grasshopp… 2-2
May 20 FC St. Ga… vs FC Luzern 1-1
May 14 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 6-1
Apr 29 FC St. Ga… vs Servette … 1-1
Apr 26 FC St. Ga… vs FC Lugano 1-2
Apr 23 FC St. Ga… vs FC Zurich 1-0
Apr 16 FC St. Ga… vs FC Winter… 2-3
FC Luzern Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 FC Luzern vs Stade Lau… 2-1
Jul 22 FC Luzern vs FC Winter… 0-0
Jul 08 FC Luzern vs SCR Altach 0-2
May 29 FC Luzern vs Servette … 0-1
May 25 FC Luzern vs FC Sion 1-2
May 20 FC Luzern vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
May 07 FC Luzern vs FC Lugano 2-2
Apr 30 FC Luzern vs BSC Young… 5-1
Apr 27 FC Luzern vs FC Winter… 3-1
Apr 23 FC Luzern vs FC Basel … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Luzern in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 20, 2023 FC Luzern 1 - 1 FC St. Gallen Super League
Feb 19, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2 - 2 FC Luzern Super League
Oct 19, 2022 FC Luzern 3 - 3 FC St. Gallen Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC St. Gallen to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC St. Gallen Power 0
FC Luzern Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FC St. Gallen Position

+7

Position Gap

10

FC Luzern Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.