AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Apr 01, 2024

FC St. Gallen

Home
VS
14:30

FC Luzern

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC St. Gallen Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC Luzern Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 1.43
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC St. Gallen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
FC Luzern Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 0-2 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
FC St. Gallen Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 FC St. Ga… vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Mar 09 FC St. Ga… vs FC Lugano 2-3
Mar 02 FC St. Ga… vs Servette … 2-0
Feb 17 FC St. Ga… vs FC Winter… 2-2
Feb 11 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 1-0
Feb 04 FC St. Ga… vs FC Luzern 1-0
Jan 31 FC St. Ga… vs Servette … 0-2
Jan 28 FC St. Ga… vs FC Lugano 1-4
Dec 16 FC St. Ga… vs FC Zurich 1-0
Dec 09 FC St. Ga… vs BSC Young… 3-0
FC Luzern Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 FC Luzern vs FC Sion 2-1
Mar 17 FC Luzern vs Servette … 2-2
Mar 10 FC Luzern vs Stade Lau… 2-1
Mar 03 FC Luzern vs FC Lugano 0-1
Feb 11 FC Luzern vs FC Winter… 2-1
Feb 04 FC Luzern vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Feb 01 FC Luzern vs Stade Lau… 0-3
Jan 28 FC Luzern vs Lausanne 2-1
Dec 17 FC Luzern vs FC Basel … 0-1
Dec 03 FC Luzern vs FC Lugano 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC St. Gallen struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Luzern struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 FC Luzern 1 - 0 FC St. Gallen Super League
Aug 06, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2 - 1 FC Luzern Super League
May 20, 2023 FC Luzern 1 - 1 FC St. Gallen Super League
Feb 19, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2 - 2 FC Luzern Super League
Oct 19, 2022 FC Luzern 3 - 3 FC St. Gallen Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC St. Gallen to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC St. Gallen Power 0
FC Luzern Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC St. Gallen Position

+8

Position Gap

10

FC Luzern Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.