AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 16, 2025

Defence Force

Home
VS
21:00

Prison Service

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Defence Force Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Prison Service Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.50 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Defence Force Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Prison Service Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Defence Force Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Defence F… vs Point For… 5-1
Jan 25 Defence F… vs Club Sando 1-5
Jan 18 Defence F… vs Central 0-3
Jan 10 Defence F… vs Morvant C… 2-6
Jan 04 Defence F… vs Ath­let­i… 6-3
Dec 26 Defence F… vs La Horque… 2-6
Dec 21 Defence F… vs Cunupia 0-6
Dec 13 Defence F… vs San Juan … 1-2
Dec 06 Defence F… vs Police 1-2
May 19 Defence F… vs Cunupia 5-1
Prison Service Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Prison Se… vs Morvant C… 1-2
Jan 26 Prison Se… vs Ath­let­i… 3-0
Jan 18 Prison Se… vs Cunupia 2-4
Dec 26 Prison Se… vs Police 5-1
Dec 22 Prison Se… vs Phoenix 2-1
Dec 14 Prison Se… vs Point For… 2-0
Dec 08 Prison Se… vs Club Sando 1-1
May 03 Prison Se… vs Ath­let­i… 1-1
Apr 07 Prison Se… vs Morvant C… 1-0
Apr 04 Prison Se… vs Point For… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Defence Force in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Prison Service struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 06, 2024 Defence Force 0 - 1 Prison Service Pro League
Dec 08, 2023 Prison Service 1 - 3 Defence Force Pro League
May 19, 2023 Defence Force 4 - 1 Prison Service Pro League
Apr 08, 2023 Prison Service 0 - 7 Defence Force Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Defence Force to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Defence Force Power 0
Prison Service Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Defence Force Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Prison Service Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.