AI Match Insights
FA WSL Mar 23, 2025
Manchester City Women
HomeVS
14:30
Chelsea Women
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Manchester City Women Win
Draw
Chelsea Women Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.61 - 2.41
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-3 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
Under 2.5 Goals
21%
Manchester City Women Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Mancheste… vs Leicester… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… | 1-2 |
| Feb 02 | Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… | 3-4 |
| Jan 25 | Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… | 2-4 |
| Jan 22 | Mancheste… vs Mancheste… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Mancheste… vs Mancheste… | 2-4 |
| Dec 15 | Mancheste… vs Everton W… | 2-1 |
Chelsea Women Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Chelsea W… vs Brighton … | 2-2 |
| Feb 16 | Chelsea W… vs Everton W… | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Chelsea W… vs Everton W… | 4-1 |
| Feb 05 | Chelsea W… vs West Ham … | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Chelsea W… vs West Ham … | 0-5 |
| Dec 08 | Chelsea W… vs Brighton … | 4-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Manchester City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Chelsea Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | Manchester City Wom… | 2 - 0 | Chelsea Women | UEFA Champions… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Chelsea Women | 2 - 1 | Manchester City Wom… | WSL Cup |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Chelsea Women | 2 - 0 | Manchester City Wom… | FA WSL |
| Mar 07, 2024 | Manchester City Wom… | 0 - 1 | Chelsea Women | WSL Cup |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Chelsea Women | 0 - 1 | Manchester City Wom… | FA WSL |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Manchester City Wom… | 1 - 1 | Chelsea Women | FA WSL |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Manchester City Women to win (51% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Manchester City Women Power
57
Chelsea Women Power
44
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Manchester City Women Position+2
Position Gap3
Chelsea Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.