AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 04, 2023

Ferroviária

Home
VS
19:00

São Bernardo

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Ferroviária Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
São Bernardo Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.30 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ferroviária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Ferroviária Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ferroviár… vs Ceará 1-1
Jan 22 Ferroviár… vs Santo And… 1-2
Jan 22 Ferroviár… vs Ceará 3-0
Jun 26 Ferroviár… vs Floresta 0-2
Mar 26 Ferroviár… vs Inter De … 1-1
Mar 12 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 2-1
Mar 09 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 0-1
Feb 26 Ferroviár… vs Ituano 3-1
Feb 20 Ferroviár… vs Inter De … 1-2
Feb 12 Ferroviár… vs Santo And… 2-2
São Bernardo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 São Berna… vs Inter De … 1-0
Jan 25 São Berna… vs Mirassol 4-1
Jan 21 São Berna… vs Água Santa 1-1
Jan 17 São Berna… vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Aug 12 São Berna… vs XV de Pir… 2-1
Jul 09 São Berna… vs XV de Pir… 0-2
Apr 23 São Berna… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Apr 02 São Berna… vs Marcílio … 2-0
Mar 30 São Berna… vs XV de Pir… 1-5
Mar 26 São Berna… vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ferroviária Power 0
São Bernardo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.