AI Match Insights

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Baiano - 1 Mar 10, 2024

Barcelona BA

Home
VS
19:00

Vitoria

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Barcelona BA Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Vitoria Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.19 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barcelona BA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Barcelona BA Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Barcelona… vs União Cac… 1-1
Mar 03 Barcelona… vs Genus 1-1
Mar 03 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 1-0
Feb 04 Barcelona… vs Jataiense 1-0
Jan 31 Barcelona… vs Bahia 2-0
Jan 25 Barcelona… vs Vitoria 2-1
Feb 26 Barcelona… vs Vitoria 0-0
Feb 08 Barcelona… vs Jataiense 3-1
Feb 02 Barcelona… vs Bahia 1-2
Jan 12 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 1-1
Vitoria Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Vitoria vs Atlético … 3-0
Feb 08 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 1-2
Feb 05 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 0-0
Jan 31 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 2-3
Jan 25 Vitoria vs Barcelona… 2-1
Jan 17 Vitoria vs Jataiense 0-1
Nov 25 Vitoria vs Chapecoen… 3-1
Nov 18 Vitoria vs Sport Rec… 1-0
Sep 01 Vitoria vs Mirassol 0-0
May 19 Vitoria vs Mirassol 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 25, 2024 Barcelona BA 2 - 1 Vitoria Baiano - 1
Feb 26, 2023 Vitoria 0 - 0 Barcelona BA Baiano - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Barcelona BA 0 - 1 Vitoria Baiano - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Barcelona BA to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barcelona BA Power 0
Vitoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Barcelona BA Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Vitoria Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.