AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 10, 2024

RB Bragantino

Home
VS
23:15

São Bernardo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
RB Bragantino Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
São Bernardo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.28 - 1.12
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
RB Bragantino Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 1-1
Dec 07 RB Bragan… vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Dec 03 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Nov 30 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 1-2
Nov 26 RB Bragan… vs Internaci… 1-0
Nov 24 RB Bragan… vs Flamengo 1-0
Nov 05 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Oct 26 RB Bragan… vs Atletico-… 1-2
Oct 19 RB Bragan… vs Santos 1-3
Jul 29 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 0-3
São Bernardo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 São Berna… vs Ponte Pre… 3-3
Jan 27 São Berna… vs XV de Pir… 0-2
Jan 24 São Berna… vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Jan 21 São Berna… vs Ituano 2-0
Apr 12 São Berna… vs Marcílio … 0-0
Mar 29 São Berna… vs Marcílio … 1-2
Mar 26 São Berna… vs Mirassol 0-0
Mar 05 São Berna… vs Água Santa 0-1
Mar 01 São Berna… vs USAC 0-2
Feb 25 São Berna… vs São Paulo… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Bragantino struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2023 São Bernardo 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
Feb 13, 2022 São Bernardo 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RB Bragantino to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Bragantino Power 0
São Bernardo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

RB Bragantino Position

+5

Position Gap

8

São Bernardo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.