Predictions Match Details
Serie B · Aug 11, 2023 22:00

Novorizontino
PWR 50
2 - 1
FT

Mirassol
PWR 57
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Novorizontino to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 5% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Attack49
Defense74
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.7
Novorizontino Form LWWWL
STABLE
Mirassol Form WLDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS17%
Under 2.588%
Novorizonti… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Mirassol Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Novorizontino
vs
0.36
Mirassol
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Novorizonti…
+19
Gap
#21
Mirassol
WR 41% 98 pts WR 47% 26 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Novorizontino63262017705498
Mirassol15753211126
Novorizontino 12.0%
Jun 28 Novoriz… v Botafogo 0-1
Jun 07 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 1-0
May 03 Novoriz… v Mirassol 0-2
Feb 11 Novoriz… v Primave… 0-1
Sep 21 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 2-0
Jun 12 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 1-2
Mar 13 Novoriz… v Botafogo 2-1
Feb 27 Novoriz… v Santos 2-2
Feb 12 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 1-2
Jan 30 Novoriz… v Mirassol 0-0
Mirassol 8.0%
May 19 Mirassol v Vitoria 2-0
May 03 Mirassol v Novoriz… 0-2
Mar 26 Mirassol v São Ber… 0-0
Feb 11 Mirassol v RB Brag… 0-0
Feb 02 Mirassol v Palmeir… 0-2
Jan 25 Mirassol v São Ber… 4-1
Jan 14 Mirassol v Santos 2-1
Aug 07 Mirassol v Vitoria 1-2
May 15 Mirassol v Remo 3-1
Mar 13 Mirassol v São Pau… 0-3
Head-to-Head (4)
May 03, 2023 Mirassol 0-2 Novorizontino
Jan 30, 2022 Novorizontino 0-0 Mirassol
Sep 25, 2021 Mirassol 0-1 Novorizontino
Jul 24, 2021 Novorizontino 1-0 Mirassol
Key Factors
Novorizontino in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.