AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Jan 28, 2024

Mirassol

Home
VS
22:00

Novorizontino

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Mirassol Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Novorizontino Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.46 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mirassol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Novorizontino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Mirassol Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Mirassol vs São Paulo… 1-1
Nov 25 Mirassol vs Tombense 0-1
Nov 18 Mirassol vs Athletico… 4-1
Sep 01 Mirassol vs Vitoria 0-0
Aug 11 Mirassol vs Novorizon… 2-1
May 19 Mirassol vs Vitoria 2-0
May 03 Mirassol vs Novorizon… 0-2
Mar 26 Mirassol vs São Berna… 0-0
Feb 11 Mirassol vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Feb 02 Mirassol vs Palmeiras 0-2
Novorizontino Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Novorizon… vs Palmeiras 1-1
Nov 25 Novorizon… vs Criciúma 2-0
Nov 18 Novorizon… vs Londrina 0-1
Oct 21 Novorizon… vs Botafogo 2-0
Sep 30 Novorizon… vs Guaraní C… 2-1
Aug 11 Novorizon… vs Mirassol 2-1
Jun 28 Novorizon… vs Botafogo 0-1
Jun 07 Novorizon… vs Guaraní C… 1-0
May 03 Novorizon… vs Mirassol 0-2
Feb 11 Novorizon… vs Primavera… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 11, 2023 Novorizontino 2 - 1 Mirassol Serie B
May 03, 2023 Mirassol 0 - 2 Novorizontino Serie B
Jan 30, 2022 Novorizontino 0 - 0 Mirassol Paulista - A1
Sep 25, 2021 Mirassol 0 - 1 Novorizontino Serie C
Jul 24, 2021 Novorizontino 1 - 0 Mirassol Serie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mirassol Power 0
Novorizontino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Mirassol Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Novorizontino Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.