AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Oct 19, 2024

Mirassol

Home
VS
20:00

Novorizontino

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Mirassol Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Novorizontino Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.47 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mirassol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Novorizontino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Mirassol Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Mirassol vs Santos 3-2
Jul 02 Mirassol vs Novorizon… 1-1
Jun 26 Mirassol vs Santos 0-0
Mar 10 Mirassol vs São Berna… 0-2
Feb 24 Mirassol vs Palmeiras 3-1
Feb 11 Mirassol vs Santos 2-2
Jan 28 Mirassol vs Novorizon… 1-1
Jan 23 Mirassol vs São Paulo… 1-1
Nov 25 Mirassol vs Tombense 0-1
Nov 18 Mirassol vs Athletico… 4-1
Novorizontino Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Novorizon… vs Santos 1-1
Sep 14 Novorizon… vs Botafogo 2-0
Aug 17 Novorizon… vs América M… 1-1
Aug 04 Novorizon… vs Goiás 2-1
Jul 13 Novorizon… vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Jul 02 Novorizon… vs Mirassol 1-1
Jun 08 Novorizon… vs Santos 3-1
May 28 Novorizon… vs Botafogo 0-1
Apr 27 Novorizon… vs América M… 2-0
Mar 29 Novorizon… vs Palmeiras 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mirassol struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 02, 2024 Novorizontino 1 - 1 Mirassol Serie B
Jan 28, 2024 Mirassol 1 - 1 Novorizontino Paulista - A1
Aug 11, 2023 Novorizontino 2 - 1 Mirassol Serie B
May 03, 2023 Mirassol 0 - 2 Novorizontino Serie B
Jan 30, 2022 Novorizontino 0 - 0 Mirassol Paulista - A1
Sep 25, 2021 Mirassol 0 - 1 Novorizontino Serie C
Jul 24, 2021 Novorizontino 1 - 0 Mirassol Serie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mirassol to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mirassol Power 0
Novorizontino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.