AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jul 18, 2024

Botafogo

Home
VS
00:30

Palmeiras

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Palmeiras Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.47
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (46%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (5%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 96%
Botafogo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Botafogo vs Amazonas 0-1
Jul 12 Botafogo vs Vitoria 0-1
Jun 29 Botafogo vs Vasco DA … 1-1
Jun 16 Botafogo vs Gremio 1-2
Jun 11 Botafogo vs Fluminense 1-0
Jun 02 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 0-1
May 28 Botafogo vs Novorizon… 0-1
May 23 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 0-0
May 22 Botafogo vs Vitoria 1-2
May 12 Botafogo vs Fortaleza 1-1
Palmeiras Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 04 Palmeiras vs Remo 2-2
Jun 17 Palmeiras vs Atletico-… 0-4
Jun 17 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 1-5
Jun 09 Palmeiras vs Corinthia… 0-1
May 23 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 0-0
May 03 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 2-1
Apr 29 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 0-0
Apr 14 Palmeiras vs Vitoria 0-1
Apr 07 Palmeiras vs Santos 2-0
Mar 31 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 23, 2024 Botafogo 0 - 0 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil
May 03, 2024 Palmeiras 2 - 1 Botafogo Copa do Brasil
Mar 09, 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Botafogo Paulista - A1
Nov 02, 2023 Botafogo 3 - 4 Palmeiras Serie A
Jun 25, 2023 Palmeiras 0 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Jan 20, 2023 Botafogo 0 - 1 Palmeiras Paulista - A1
Oct 03, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 3 Palmeiras Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo Power 0
Palmeiras Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Botafogo Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Palmeiras Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.