AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Jan 22, 2025

Tombense

Home
VS
22:00

Itabirito

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Tombense Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Itabirito Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.68 - 1.85
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tombense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Itabirito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (5%) 1-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Tombense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Tombense vs Jataiense 0-0
Jan 19 Tombense vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Aug 24 Tombense vs Ferroviár… 3-3
Aug 19 Tombense vs Botafogo 1-2
Aug 11 Tombense vs CSA 0-1
Mar 16 Tombense vs Cruzeiro 3-1
Mar 10 Tombense vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Feb 14 Tombense vs Atletico-… 1-1
Feb 07 Tombense vs Democrata… 2-2
Jan 24 Tombense vs Uberlândia 2-2
Itabirito Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Itabirito vs Betim 0-1
Mar 16 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 5-2
Mar 10 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 4-1
Feb 14 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 1-2
Feb 08 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 2-0
Feb 03 Itabirito vs América M… 0-0
Jan 24 Itabirito vs Democrata… 1-3
Aug 05 Itabirito vs Betim 1-1
Aug 02 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 2-3
Jul 22 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tombense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Itabirito struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tombense to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tombense Power 0
Itabirito Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tombense Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Itabirito Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.