AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligat Ha'al Dec 09, 2023

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Home
VS
13:00

Ashdod

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Ashdod Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Ashdod Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (35%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-1
Dec 02 Hapoel Pe… vs Beitar Je… 1-0
Dec 02 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ha… 3-0
Nov 25 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi H… 2-1
Sep 30 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi T… 2-0
Sep 23 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Be… 1-0
Sep 17 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi H… 4-1
Aug 21 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi T… 2-1
Aug 12 Hapoel Pe… vs Ashdod 0-1
Aug 05 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Te… 1-1
Ashdod Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 2-1
Dec 02 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 0-0
Sep 04 Ashdod vs Beitar Je… 1-2
Aug 27 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 4-1
Aug 12 Ashdod vs Hapoel Pe… 0-1
Aug 08 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 1-0
Aug 05 Ashdod vs Hapoel Ka… 2-0
May 20 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 1-2
May 02 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 1-3
Apr 29 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 12, 2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva 0 - 1 Ashdod Toto Cup Ligat…
Feb 28, 2023 Ashdod 4 - 2 Hapoel Petah Tikva State Cup
Jan 31, 2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva 1 - 1 Ashdod State Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Petah Tikva to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Petah Tikva Power 0
Ashdod Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Hapoel Petah Tikva Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Ashdod Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.