Bundesliga · Jan 22, 2022 14:30

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
2 - 0
FT

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
SC Freiburg Form LLWDW
DOWN
VfB Stuttgart Form LLDWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS23%
Under 2.573%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
SC Freiburg
vs
0.35
VfB Stuttgart
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
SC Freiburg
-3
Gap
#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 60% 30 pts WR 46% 39 pts
SC Freiburg 10.0%
Jan 14 SC Frei… v Borussi… 5-1
Nov 06 SC Frei… v Bayern … 2-1
Oct 23 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 0-2
Oct 16 SC Frei… v RB Leip… 1-1
Sep 26 SC Frei… v FC Augs… 3-0
Sep 11 SC Frei… v FC Koln 1-1
Aug 28 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 2-3
Aug 21 SC Frei… v Borussi… 2-1
May 15 SC Frei… v Bayern … 2-2
May 09 SC Frei… v FC Koln 1-4
VfB Stuttgart 8.0%
Dec 14 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 0-5
Nov 20 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 2-1
Oct 24 VfB Stu… v Union B… 1-1
Oct 02 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 3-1
Sep 26 VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… 0-0
Sep 19 VfB Stu… v Bayer L… 1-3
Sep 12 VfB Stu… v Eintrac… 1-1
Aug 28 VfB Stu… v SC Frei… 2-3
Apr 10 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 2-3
Apr 04 VfB Stu… v Werder … 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2-3 SC Freiburg
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.