AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Aug 20, 2022

VfB Stuttgart

Home
VS
13:30

SC Freiburg

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
VfB Stuttgart Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
SC Freiburg Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 0.97 - 2.02
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
SC Freiburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 0-3 (7%) 1-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
VfB Stuttgart Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-2
May 08 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 2-2
Apr 08 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 0-2
Mar 12 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 1-1
Mar 05 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 3-2
Feb 25 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-1
Feb 19 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 1-1
Feb 12 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 4-2
Feb 05 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 2-3
Jan 22 VfB Stutt… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
SC Freiburg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 SC Freibu… vs Borussia … 1-3
Aug 06 SC Freibu… vs FC Augsbu… 0-4
May 21 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 1-1
Apr 19 SC Freibu… vs Hamburger… 1-3
Apr 02 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 1-4
Mar 12 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 3-2
Mar 05 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 1-1
Feb 19 SC Freibu… vs FC Augsbu… 1-2
Feb 05 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 1-0
Jan 22 SC Freibu… vs VfB Stutt… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
SC Freiburg Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

+3

Position Gap

7

SC Freiburg Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.