AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 02, 2023

VfB Stuttgart

Home
VS
13:30

SC Freiburg

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
VfB Stuttgart Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
SC Freiburg Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.15 - 1.32
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
SC Freiburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
VfB Stuttgart Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 5-0
May 27 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
May 14 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
May 03 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 2-3
Apr 29 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 2-1
Apr 15 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 3-3
Apr 09 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 2-3
Apr 01 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 3-0
Mar 11 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Mar 04 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
SC Freiburg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 1-0
Jul 22 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-3
May 19 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-0
May 06 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 0-1
May 02 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 1-5
Apr 29 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 0-1
Apr 16 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 1-2
Apr 08 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 0-1
Apr 04 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
Feb 11 SC Freibu… vs VfB Stutt… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Aug 20, 2022 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
SC Freiburg Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

+3

Position Gap

7

SC Freiburg Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.