AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 03, 2024

SC Freiburg

Home
VS
14:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
SC Freiburg Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
VfB Stuttgart Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.28 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Freiburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
SC Freiburg Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 3-1
Jan 27 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 3-1
Jan 20 SC Freibu… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-2
Jan 13 SC Freibu… vs Union Ber… 0-0
Dec 20 SC Freibu… vs FC Heiden… 3-2
Dec 20 SC Freibu… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-2
Dec 17 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 2-0
Dec 17 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 2-0
Dec 09 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-1
Dec 09 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-1
VfB Stuttgart Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 VfB Stutt… vs RB Leipzig 5-2
Jan 20 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 1-0
Jan 20 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 1-0
Jan 14 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 3-1
Jan 14 VfB Stutt… vs M'gladbach 3-1
Dec 20 VfB Stutt… vs FC Augsbu… 3-0
Dec 20 VfB Stutt… vs FC Augsbu… 3-0
Dec 17 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 3-0
Dec 17 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 3-0
Dec 10 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • VfB Stuttgart struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 02, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 5 - 0 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2023 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Aug 20, 2022 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Freiburg Power 34
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

SC Freiburg Position

-3

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.