Bundesliga · Jan 18, 2025 14:30
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
4 - 0
FT
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy73%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
VfB Stuttgart Form
WWLLW
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS38%
Under 2.542%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
VfB Stuttgartvs
0.48
SC FreiburgDecision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings69%
Market50%
League Standings
#5
VfB Stuttga…+2
Gap#7
SC Freiburg
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 18% 30 pts
VfB Stuttgart
12.0%
| Jan 15 | VfB Stu… v RB Leip… | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | VfB Stu… v FC St. … | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | VfB Stu… v FC St. … | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 1-3 |
| Dec 11 | VfB Stu… v BSC You… | 5-1 |
| Dec 06 | VfB Stu… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | VfB Stu… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Dec 03 | VfB Stu… v Jahn Re… | 0-3 |
| Nov 30 | VfB Stu… v Werder … | 2-2 |
SC Freiburg
12.0%
| Jan 14 | SC Frei… v Eintrac… | 4-1 |
| Jan 11 | SC Frei… v Holstei… | 3-2 |
| Dec 21 | SC Frei… v Bayer L… | 5-1 |
| Dec 13 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 3-2 |
| Dec 13 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 3-2 |
| Dec 08 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | SC Frei… v Arminia… | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | SC Frei… v M'gladb… | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| Nov 23 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 24, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 3-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 24, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 3-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 03, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 03, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Sep 02, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 5-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 20, 2022 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 28, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 23, 2021 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Freiburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.