AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 01, 2023

Borussia Dortmund

Home
VS
18:30

FC Heidenheim

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Borussia Dortmund Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
FC Heidenheim Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Heidenheim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Borussia Dortmund Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Borussia … vs Borussia … 5-2
May 07 Borussia … vs VfL Wolfs… 6-0
Apr 22 Borussia … vs Eintracht… 4-0
Apr 15 Borussia … vs VfB Stutt… 3-3
Apr 08 Borussia … vs Union Ber… 2-1
Feb 25 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 0-1
Feb 11 Borussia … vs Werder Br… 0-2
Feb 04 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 5-1
Jan 29 Borussia … vs Bayer Lev… 0-2
Nov 11 Borussia … vs Borussia … 4-2
FC Heidenheim Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 FC Heiden… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-0
Apr 08 FC Heiden… vs FC St. Pa… 0-1
Feb 11 FC Heiden… vs Hamburger… 3-3
Oct 19 FC Heiden… vs Union Ber… 2-0
Oct 01 FC Heiden… vs FC St. Pa… 0-0
Aug 06 FC Heiden… vs Hamburger… 1-0
Mar 18 FC Heiden… vs FC St. Pa… 1-0
Feb 12 FC Heiden… vs Hamburger… 2-0
Oct 16 FC Heiden… vs FC St. Pa… 2-4
Aug 28 FC Heiden… vs Hamburger… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Borussia Dortmund in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Heidenheim struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

ELITE: Borussia Dortmund to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
  • Power: 47 vs 21
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
FC Heidenheim Power 21
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Borussia Dortmund Position

+16

Position Gap

18

FC Heidenheim Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.