AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 13, 2024

Borussia Dortmund

Home
VS
18:30

FC Heidenheim

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Borussia Dortmund Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC Heidenheim Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.41 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
FC Heidenheim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Borussia Dortmund Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Borussia … vs Werder Br… 0-0
Aug 31 Borussia … vs Werder Br… 0-0
Aug 24 Borussia … vs Eintracht… 2-0
Aug 24 Borussia … vs Eintracht… 2-0
Aug 06 Borussia … vs Villarreal 2-2
Jun 01 Borussia … vs Real Madr… 0-2
May 18 Borussia … vs SV Darmst… 4-0
May 18 Borussia … vs SV Darmst… 4-0
May 11 Borussia … vs Mainz 3-0
May 11 Borussia … vs FSV Mainz… 3-0
FC Heidenheim Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 FC Heiden… vs FC St. Pa… 0-2
May 18 FC Heiden… vs FC Koln 4-1
May 11 FC Heiden… vs SC Freibu… 1-1
May 05 FC Heiden… vs FSV Mainz… 1-1
Apr 28 FC Heiden… vs SV Darmst… 0-1
Apr 20 FC Heiden… vs RB Leipzig 1-2
Apr 06 FC Heiden… vs Bayern Mu… 3-2
Mar 16 FC Heiden… vs Borussia … 1-1
Feb 24 FC Heiden… vs Union Ber… 2-2
Feb 02 FC Heiden… vs Borussia … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Heidenheim in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2024 FC Heidenheim 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Sep 01, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Borussia Dortmund to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
  • Power: 47 vs 21
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
FC Heidenheim Power 21
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Borussia Dortmund Position

+16

Position Gap

18

FC Heidenheim Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.