La Liga · Apr 15, 2023 14:15
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Athletic Club
PWR 30
2 - 0
FT
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (24%)
0-1 (23%)
0-2 (11%)
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Athletic Club Form
DLLLW
STABLE
Real Sociedad Form
WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS23%
Under 2.582%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Real Socied… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Athletic Clubvs
0.97
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Athletic Cl…-2
Gap#9
Real Socied…
WR 46% 25 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Athletic Club
6.0%
| Apr 04 | Athleti… v Osasuna | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-2 |
| Jan 29 | Athleti… v Celta d… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Athleti… v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Jan 14 | Athleti… v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 09 | Athleti… v Osasuna | 0-0 |
Real Sociedad
10.0%
| Apr 08 | Real So… v Getafe | 2-0 |
| Apr 02 | Real So… v Villarr… | 2-0 |
| Mar 19 | Real So… v Elche | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Real So… v Celta d… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Real So… v FC Barc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Real So… v Athleti… | 3-1 |
| Oct 16 | Real So… v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Oct 09 | Real So… v Villarr… | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Real So… v Girona | 3-5 |
| Sep 11 | Real So… v Getafe | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 14, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Athletic Club | 4-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Athletic Club |
Key Factors
Athletic Club struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.