Super League · Mar 03, 2023 12:00
APS Bomet
PWR 61
1-0
predicted

Murang'a SEAL
PWR 60
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: APS Bomet to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense83
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.5
Attack58
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
APS Bomet Form DWWWW
STABLE
Murang'a SEAL Form WLDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS25%
Under 2.557%
APS Bomet Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Murang'a SE… Goals
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
APS Bomet
vs
0.33
Murang'a SEAL
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
APS Bomet
+1
Gap
#22
Murang'a SE…
WR 63% 17 pts WR 50% 11 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
APS Bomet85219417
Murang'a SEAL632110511
APS Bomet 18.0%
Jul 24 APS Bom… v Murang'… 1-1
Jul 13 APS Bom… v Mara Su… 1-0
Jul 02 APS Bom… v Shabana 1-0
Feb 14 APS Bom… v Shabana 1-3
Feb 05 APS Bom… v Murang'… 1-2
Jan 21 APS Bom… v Mara Su… 0-1
Murang'a SEAL 14.0%
Feb 04 Murang'… v Mara Su… 3-0
Sep 18 Murang'… v AFC Leo… 3-1
Jul 24 Murang'… v APS Bom… 1-1
Jun 13 Murang'… v Mara Su… 3-1
Mar 06 Murang'… v Mara Su… 1-2
Feb 05 Murang'… v APS Bom… 1-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Jul 24, 2022 APS Bomet 1-1 Murang'a SEAL
Feb 05, 2022 Murang'a SEAL 1-2 APS Bomet
Key Factors
APS Bomet in strong form (4W in last 5)
Murang'a SEAL in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.