AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 24, 2024

Atalanta

Home
VS
18:45

Como

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Atalanta Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Como Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.75 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atalanta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Atalanta Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Atalanta vs Fuerte Sa… 0-2
Sep 15 Atalanta vs Fiorentina 3-2
Sep 15 Atalanta vs Fiorentina 3-2
Aug 30 Atalanta vs Inter 4-0
Aug 30 Atalanta vs Inter 4-0
Aug 25 Atalanta vs Torino 2-1
Aug 25 Atalanta vs Torino 2-1
Aug 19 Atalanta vs Lecce 0-4
Aug 04 Atalanta vs Parma 4-1
Jul 28 Atalanta vs Municipal… 1-1
Como Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Como vs Bologna 2-2
Sep 14 Como vs Bologna 2-2
Sep 01 Como vs Udinese 1-0
Sep 01 Como vs Udinese 1-0
Aug 26 Como vs Cagliari 1-1
Aug 19 Como vs Juventus 3-0
Aug 11 Como vs Sampdoria 1-1
Jul 02 Como vs Zambia 1-0
May 10 Como vs Cosenza 1-1
May 10 Como vs Cosenza 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atalanta in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 23, 2022 Atalanta 4 - 0 Como Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atalanta Power 40
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Atalanta Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Como Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.