AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jan 25, 2025

Como

Home
VS
14:00

Atalanta

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Como Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Atalanta Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.42 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Atalanta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Como Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Como vs Udinese 4-1
Jan 14 Como vs AC Milan 1-2
Jan 10 Como vs Lazio 1-1
Dec 30 Como vs Lecce 2-0
Dec 30 Como vs Lecce 2-0
Dec 23 Como vs Inter 2-0
Dec 23 Como vs Inter 2-0
Dec 15 Como vs AS Roma 2-0
Dec 15 Como vs AS Roma 2-0
Dec 08 Como vs Venezia 2-2
Atalanta Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Atalanta vs Municipal… 1-4
Jan 18 Atalanta vs Napoli 2-3
Jan 14 Atalanta vs Juventus 1-1
Jan 11 Atalanta vs Udinese 0-0
Jan 02 Atalanta vs Inter 2-0
Dec 28 Atalanta vs Lazio 1-1
Dec 22 Atalanta vs Empoli 3-2
Dec 18 Atalanta vs Cosenza 6-1
Dec 14 Atalanta vs Cagliari 0-1
Dec 14 Atalanta vs Cagliari 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Como in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2024 Atalanta 2 - 3 Como Pro League
Sep 24, 2024 Atalanta 2 - 3 Como Serie A
Jul 23, 2022 Atalanta 4 - 0 Como Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Como Power 45
Atalanta Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Como Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Atalanta Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.