AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 26, 2026

Coritiba

Home
VS
23:00

São Paulo FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Coritiba Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
São Paulo FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.17 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Coritiba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Coritiba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Coritiba vs Cianorte 0-1
Jan 28 Coritiba vs RB Bragan… 0-1
Jan 24 Coritiba vs Cascavel 1-1
Jan 21 Coritiba vs Independi… 0-1
Jan 17 Coritiba vs Athletico… 0-1
Jan 13 Coritiba vs Maringá 0-1
Jan 10 Coritiba vs Londrina 2-2
Jan 07 Coritiba vs Foz Do Ig… 2-3
Nov 11 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Jul 16 Coritiba vs Cruzeiro 0-0
São Paulo FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 São Paulo… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 31 São Paulo… vs Santos 2-0
Jan 29 São Paulo… vs Flamengo 2-1
Jan 24 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 3-1
Jan 21 São Paulo… vs Portuguesa 2-3
Jan 18 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-1
Jan 16 São Paulo… vs São Berna… 1-0
Jan 11 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 3-0
Dec 03 São Paulo… vs Internaci… 3-0
Nov 30 São Paulo… vs Apafut 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coritiba Power 0
São Paulo FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Coritiba Position

-15

Position Gap

4

São Paulo FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.