AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Feb 01, 2026

Alianza Atlético

Home
VS
20:15

Cusco

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Alianza Atlético Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Cusco Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 78%
Market 45%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
xG: 1.93 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7 Position gap: 9 places Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Atlético Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cusco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Alianza Atlético Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Alianza A… vs Sport Boys 0-1
Nov 09 Alianza A… vs Alianza U… 2-1
Nov 02 Alianza A… vs Atletico … 1-1
Oct 25 Alianza A… vs Cienciano 0-1
Oct 18 Alianza A… vs Comercian… 1-0
Oct 12 Alianza A… vs Cultural … 1-0
Oct 05 Alianza A… vs Deportivo… 2-4
Oct 01 Alianza A… vs Universit… 0-2
Sep 26 Alianza A… vs ADT 1-0
Sep 22 Alianza A… vs Ayacucho … 3-0
Cusco Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Cusco vs Sporting … 1-0
Dec 11 Cusco vs Sporting … 1-0
Nov 23 Cusco vs Sport Hua… 1-2
Nov 07 Cusco vs Sport Boys 3-0
Nov 02 Cusco vs Alianza U… 2-2
Oct 25 Cusco vs Atletico … 1-0
Oct 18 Cusco vs Cienciano 1-2
Oct 12 Cusco vs Comercian… 1-1
Oct 04 Cusco vs Cultural … 2-1
Oct 01 Cusco vs Deportivo… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cusco in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2025 Cusco 1 - 0 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Mar 28, 2025 Alianza Atlético 2 - 4 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Aug 15, 2024 Alianza Atlético 1 - 1 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Mar 07, 2024 Cusco 2 - 0 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Jul 22, 2023 Alianza Atlético 2 - 0 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Feb 19, 2023 Cusco 2 - 1 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Aug 08, 2021 Cusco 3 - 0 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alianza Atlético to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Atlético Power 0
Cusco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Alianza Atlético Position

+9

Position Gap

14

Cusco Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.