AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Botola Pro Oct 23, 2021

Maghreb de Fès

Home
VS
17:15

Difaa El Jadida

Away
AI Predictions 47.5% Confidence
Maghreb de Fès Win
47.5%
Draw
24.5%
Difaa El Jadida Win
28.0%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.15 - 1.13
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maghreb de Fès Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Difaa El Jadida Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Maghreb de Fès Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Maghreb d… vs FAR Rabat 1-1
Jul 03 Maghreb d… vs FAR Rabat 0-1
May 22 Maghreb d… vs Difaa El … 1-3
Dec 20 Maghreb d… vs Difaa El … 1-2
Difaa El Jadida Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 Difaa El … vs Maghreb d… 1-3
Dec 20 Difaa El … vs Maghreb d… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 22, 2021 Maghreb de Fès 1 - 3 Difaa El Jadida Botola Pro
Dec 20, 2020 Difaa El Jadida 1 - 2 Maghreb de Fès Botola Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maghreb de Fès to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maghreb de Fès Power 0
Difaa El Jadida Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Maghreb de Fès Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Difaa El Jadida Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.