AI Match Insights
HNL Aug 24, 2024
NK Varaždin
HomeVS
16:15
NK Slaven Belupo
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
NK Varaždin Win
Draw
NK Slaven Belupo Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.60 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (14%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
NK Varaždin Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Hajduā¦ | 2-1 |
| Aug 11 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 0-0 |
| May 25 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 0-2 |
| May 17 | NK Varaždā¦ vs Istra 1961 | 2-0 |
| May 11 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 3-1 |
| May 05 | NK Varaždā¦ vs HNK Hajduā¦ | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | NK Varaždā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 0-1 |
| Apr 17 | NK Varaždā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | NK Varaždā¦ vs NK Lokomoā¦ | 0-2 |
NK Slaven Belupo Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 26 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 4-0 |
| May 18 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 2-3 |
| May 04 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 4-1 |
| Apr 26 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Istra 1961 | 3-0 |
| Apr 06 | NK Slavenā¦ vs NK Varaždā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Dinamo Zaā¦ | 5-2 |
| Feb 25 | NK Slavenā¦ vs HNK Rijeka | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | NK Slavenā¦ vs Istra 1961 | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | NK Slavenā¦ vs NK Varaždā¦ | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- NK Slaven Belupo struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2024 | NK Slaven Belupo | 0 - 1 | NK Varaždin | HNL |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 1 - 2 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Oct 06, 2023 | NK Slaven Belupo | 3 - 2 | NK Varaždin | HNL |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
NK Varaždin Power
0
NK Slaven Belupo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
NK Varaždin Position+2
Position Gap6
NK Slaven Belupo Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.