Premier Soccer League · Feb 08, 2025 13:30

Mamelodi Sundowns FC
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Orlando Pirates
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Mamelodi Sundo… Form WLWWW
STABLE
Orlando Pirates Form WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS41%
Under 2.566%
Mamelodi Su… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Orlando Pir… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Mamelodi Sundo…
vs
0.93
Orlando Pirates
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Mamelodi Su…
-1
Gap
#1
Orlando Pir…
WR 86% 32 pts WR 63% 35 pts
Mamelodi Sundo… 16.0%
Nov 30 Mamelod… v Sekhukh… 3-0
Nov 23 Mamelod… v Magesi 2-1
Nov 10 Mamelod… v Marumo … 0-2
Nov 02 Mamelod… v Kaizer … 0-4
Oct 19 Mamelod… v Golden … 5-0
Sep 01 Mamelod… v Stellen… 1-0
Aug 28 Mamelod… v Stellen… 0-1
Aug 11 Mamelod… v Polokwa… 1-0
Jun 01 Mamelod… v Orlando… 1-2
May 25 Mamelod… v Cape To… 0-1
Orlando Pirates 20.0%
Feb 05 Orlando… v Sekhukh… 1-2
Jan 26 Orlando… v Richard… 1-3
Dec 29 Orlando… v Magesi 0-1
Nov 05 Orlando… v Richard… 1-0
Oct 25 Orlando… v Amazulu 2-1
Oct 19 Orlando… v Magesi 2-3
Oct 05 Orlando… v Stellen… 3-1
Sep 29 Orlando… v Richard… 0-1
Sep 18 Orlando… v Chippa … 2-1
Aug 31 Orlando… v Cape To… 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Jun 01, 2024 Mamelodi Sund… 1-2 Orlando Pirat…
Feb 17, 2024 Mamelodi Sund… 1-1 Orlando Pirat…
Oct 07, 2023 Orlando Pirat… 0-0 Mamelodi Sund…
Sep 20, 2023 Orlando Pirat… 0-1 Mamelodi Sund…
Feb 04, 2023 Orlando Pirat… 0-1 Mamelodi Sund…
Key Factors
Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Orlando Pirates in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.