AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano Jan 31, 2024

Fluminense

Home
VS
23:15

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Botafogo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.39 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Fluminense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Fluminense vs Nova Igua… 3-0
Jan 28 Fluminense vs Figueiren… 0-1
Dec 07 Fluminense vs Remo 2-3
Dec 03 Fluminense vs Palmeiras 1-0
Nov 29 Fluminense vs Santos 0-3
Nov 26 Fluminense vs Corinthia… 2-1
Nov 23 Fluminense vs São Paulo… 1-0
Nov 11 Fluminense vs Flamengo 1-1
Oct 31 Fluminense vs Bahia 1-0
Oct 08 Fluminense vs Botafogo 0-2
Botafogo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Jan 20 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 07 Botafogo vs Oeste 2-1
Dec 07 Botafogo vs Internaci… 3-1
Dec 03 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Nov 30 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 1-1
Nov 26 Botafogo vs Santos 1-1
Nov 25 Botafogo vs Londrina 0-1
Nov 23 Botafogo vs Fortaleza 2-2
Nov 18 Botafogo vs CriciĂşma 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fluminense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 20, 2023 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 29, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Friendlies Clu…
Jan 29, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 15, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 2 Fluminense Paraibano
Oct 23, 2022 Fluminense 2 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 25, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense Serie C
May 21, 2022 Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
May 14, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 2 Fluminense Paraibano
Mar 06, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense Copa do Nordes…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fluminense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fluminense Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.