AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa EspĂ­rito Santo Jul 13, 2024

Desportiva ES

Home
VS
20:00

Porto VitĂłria

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Desportiva ES Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Porto VitĂłria Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.71 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Porto VitĂłria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Desportiva ES Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 10 Desportiv… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Jun 30 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 1-1
Jun 22 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 1-0
Jun 19 Desportiv… vs Real Noro… 3-1
Jun 09 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 0-3
May 11 Desportiv… vs Vitoria 0-0
Apr 27 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Mar 23 Desportiv… vs Bandeiran… 1-0
Mar 16 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Mar 10 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 0-0
Porto VitĂłria Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 05 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 3-0
Jun 22 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jun 15 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 1-0
Jun 01 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 3-1
May 18 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-3
Mar 30 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 24 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Mar 02 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 2-0
Feb 21 Porto Vit… vs Serra Tal… 2-1
Feb 05 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Porto VitĂłria in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 22, 2024 Porto Vitória 1 - 0 Desportiva ES Copa Espírito …
Mar 02, 2024 Desportiva ES 2 - 0 Porto VitĂłria Capixaba
Mar 22, 2023 Porto VitĂłria 1 - 1 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Mar 19, 2023 Desportiva ES 2 - 2 Porto VitĂłria Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Desportiva ES to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Desportiva ES Power 0
Porto VitĂłria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.